Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2746 · DEN → TPA
departs 11:59 PM MT · arrives 5:32 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.