Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2919
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2919 · CLE → TPA
departs 2:04 PM ET · arrives 4:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 6,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.