Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2960
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2960 · FLL → IAD
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.