Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 2972 · MSY → ATL
departs 5:02 PM CT · arrives 7:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 50%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 42%
Tue 10/6 33%
Wed 10/7 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MSY are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.