Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2996
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2996 · DEN → IAH
departs 9:06 PM MT · arrives 12:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.