Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
F9 3175 · DTW → DFW
departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 9:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 65%
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±1 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,240 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.