F9 3277 · DFW → SLC

departs 4:13 PM CT · arrives 6:02 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

SLC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3277 · DFW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?