Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 3768 · MCO → RIC
departs 1:51 PM ET · arrives 3:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 29%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
RIC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.