Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 3819 · PIT → MCO
departs 7:13 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.