Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 3871 · SLC → PHX
departs 12:41 PM MT · arrives 1:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.