Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3916
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 3916 · CLE → MCO
departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 5:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 28%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.