Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 3930 · DEN → PNS
departs 2:29 PM MT · arrives 6:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 21%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.