Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 3975 · MCO → ATL
departs 3:18 PM ET · arrives 5:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3 60%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 36%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
52%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.