F9 4625 · MEM → DEN

departs 4:32 PM CT · arrives 6:11 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4625 · MEM → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?