Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 4690 · ONT → DFW
departs 8:17 AM PT · arrives 1:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 32%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 10%
Fri 10/9 16%
Sat 10/10 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.