F9 4794 · DEN → FAR

departs 3:58 PM MT · arrives 7:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FAR?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4794 · DEN → FAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAR?