Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4828
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 4828 · DEN → MCI
departs 10:16 AM MT · arrives 1:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.