G4 1023 · MCI → PIE

departs 10:07 AM CT · arrives 1:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1023 · MCI → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?