G4 1028 · PIE → HSV

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 9:49 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from PIE are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HSV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1028 · PIE → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?