Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1041
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 1041 · CAK → PIE
departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CAK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.