Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1073 · LEX → PIE
departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.