G4 1111 · JAX → PIT

departs 11:19 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ 11am departures from JAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1111 · JAX → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?