Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 1196 · SFB → AUS
departs 5:14 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,233 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.