Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 1254 · LCK → EYW
departs 5:48 PM ET · arrives 8:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LCK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EYW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.