Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1286 · EYW → SFB
departs 9:22 PM ET · arrives 10:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 2.67 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.