Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1344
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1344 · SFB → PSM
departs 4:04 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PSM more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at PSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSM?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
PSM usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PSM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.