G4 1386 · OMA → SRQ

departs 9:58 AM CT · arrives 1:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.88 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1386 · OMA → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?