G4 1403 · TYS → AUS

departs 12:02 PM ET · arrives 1:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1403 · TYS → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?