G4 1452 · PIA → DEN

departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PIA that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ PIA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.81 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1452 · PIA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?