Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1475 · XNA → VPS
departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 5:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 0.9 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into VPS at that hour are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.