Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1482
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1482 · SGF → VPS
departs 8:51 PM CT · arrives 10:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SGF that day
↑
8pm departures from SGF are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5.8 mi Precip 0.17 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.