Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1535
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 1535 · JAX → CAK
departs 1:51 PM ET · arrives 3:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CAK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into CAK at that hour are often late
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.35 in
CAK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.