G4 1550 · PGD → FNT

departs 10:44 AM ET · arrives 1:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FNT that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ 10am departures from PGD are usually not late

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

FNT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1550 · PGD → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?