G4 1600 · COS → AZA

departs 11:27 AM MT · arrives 12:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1600 · COS → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?