Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 161
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 161 · ABE → SFB
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE
↓
ABE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ABE (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.