G4 1631 · ICT → LAS

departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.81 in

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1631 · ICT → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?