G4 170 · ABE → SFB

departs 12:34 PM ET · arrives 3:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↓ 12pm departures from ABE are usually not late

↓ ABE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ABE (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SFB (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 170 · ABE → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?