Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1787 · RSW → ABE
departs 6:36 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 44 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from RSW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.79 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.