G4 1816 · SWF → MYR

departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SWF

Weather at each end

SWF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1816 · SWF → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?