G4 1823 · FLL → ABE

departs 11:29 AM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABE?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
49%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

ABE (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1823 · FLL → ABE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABE?