Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1869
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1869 · AVL → VPS
departs 7:13 PM ET · arrives 7:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from AVL are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at AVL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.