Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 1893 · PGD → IAD
departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.