G4 1970 · MYR → SYR

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1970 · MYR → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?