Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2001 · VPS → CVG
departs 8:40 PM CT · arrives 11:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from VPS are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.