Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 202 · MCO → ABE
departs 11:28 AM ET · arrives 2:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.