G4 2112 · FLL → MEM

departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 7:31 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

MEM (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2112 · FLL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?