Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 211 · ABE → RSW
departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ABE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ABE (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.