Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 2130 · MDT → FLL
departs 5:58 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.