G4 2149 · FLL → PBG

departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PBG more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PBG?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at PBG that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

PBG (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2149 · FLL → PBG

Odds over time

How late will it get to PBG?