G4 2263 · AZA → IDA

departs 6:11 AM MT · arrives 9:18 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IDA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from AZA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IDA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2263 · AZA → IDA

Odds over time

How late will it get to IDA?